Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 15.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 0-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 2-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.