Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 65.73%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 16.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.85%) and 3-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.