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Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 21, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stade Armand-Césari
Lorient logo

Bastia
1 - 1
Lorient

Sainati (81')
Bai (81'), Sainati (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kone (64')
Kone (65')
Lorient win 4-1 on penalties
Coverage of the Coupe de France Round of 32 clash between Bastia and Lorient.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bastia 1-0 Pau
Friday, January 13 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Marseille 3-1 Lorient
Saturday, January 14 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%).

Result
BastiaDrawLorient
33.12% (-0.409 -0.41) 26.77% (0.107 0.11) 40.11% (0.302 0.3)
Both teams to score 51.22% (-0.43 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.2% (-0.505 -0.51)53.79% (0.506 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.73% (-0.426 -0.43)75.26% (0.42700000000001 0.43)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (-0.52000000000001 -0.52)30.49% (0.521 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.3% (-0.622 -0.62)66.7% (0.622 0.62)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.68% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)26.31% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.56% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)61.44% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 33.12%
    Lorient 40.11%
    Draw 26.77%
BastiaDrawLorient
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.052 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.66% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.99% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.24% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 33.12%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.02% (0.158 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 10.71% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 8.49% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.15% (0.113 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 3.18% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 40.11%

How you voted: Bastia vs Lorient

Bastia
27.3%
Draw
18.2%
Lorient
54.5%
11
Head to Head
May 14, 2017 8pm
Bastia
2-0
Lorient
Crivelli (75'), Danic (86')
Crivelli (3'), Nangis (42'), Coulibaly (82')

Mvuemba (53'), Waris (79')
Aug 20, 2016 7pm
Lorient
0-3
Bastia

Philippoteaux (64'), Mesloub (66')
Didier Ndong (30'), Jeannot (77')
Saint-Maximin (26'), Crivelli (42', 81')
Mostefa (7'), Diallo Sadio (35'), Marange (44'), Djiku (67')
Mar 5, 2016 7pm
Bastia
0-0
Lorient

Mostefa (36'), Leca (87'), Cahuzac (88')

Bellugou (45'), Abdullah (65'), Guerreiro (88')
Aug 16, 2015 4pm
Lorient
1-1
Bastia
Moukandjo (91' pen.)
Moukandjo (59'), Mesloub (85'), Fofana (92')
Ayite (4')
Marange (28'), Djiku (56')
Feb 28, 2015 7pm
rhs 2.0
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