Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Monaco |
24.27% ( -0.07) | 24.46% ( 0.04) | 51.26% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.78% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.9% ( -0.24) | 49.1% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.82% ( -0.22) | 71.17% ( 0.21) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.27% ( -0.19) | 34.72% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.54% ( -0.2) | 71.45% ( 0.2) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.85% ( -0.09) | 19.15% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.2% ( -0.14) | 50.79% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.72% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 24.27% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.29% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.07% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 51.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |