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Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 24, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
0 - 0
Racing


Rojo (22'), Merentiel (52'), Fernandez (90'), Fernandez (90+90')
FT

Javier Rubio (45+3'), Almendra (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Boca Juniors and Racing Club, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Boca Juniors 3-1 Platense
Saturday, August 19 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Racing Club

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Union 1-1 Racing
Friday, August 18 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Boca Juniors 1-1 Racing Club

 Given the high-stakes nature of this clash, we expect Boca Juniors and Racing Club to play out a tense and cagey stalemate on Wednesday, with both sides settling for a draw ahead of the decisive second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 50.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Racing Club had a probability of 23.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Racing Club win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawRacing Club
50.96% (-0.525 -0.52) 25.92% (0.121 0.12) 23.12% (0.406 0.41)
Both teams to score 47.21% (0.107 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.19% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)55.81% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.07% (-0.072999999999997 -0.07)76.93% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (-0.265 -0.27)21.96% (0.264 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.75% (-0.404 -0.4)55.25% (0.405 0.41)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.5% (0.342 0.34)39.5% (-0.34 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.81% (0.315 0.32)76.19% (-0.31399999999999 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 50.95%
    Racing Club 23.12%
    Draw 25.92%
Boca JuniorsDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 13.15% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.97% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.029000000000002 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.04% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 50.95%
1-1 @ 12.21% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.68% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.06% (0.103 0.1)
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.74% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.76% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 23.12%

How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Racing

Boca Juniors
71.4%
Draw
23.8%
Racing Club
4.8%
21
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 14
Boca Juniors
3-1
Racing
Payero (3'), Fernandez (6'), Merentiel (90')
Reniero (69')
Aug 15, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 13
Racing
0-0
Boca Juniors
Insua (18'), Hauche (33'), Gomez (77'), Mura (90+2'), Moreno (90+3')
Varela (11'), Benedetto (53')
May 14, 2022 9pm
Boca Juniors
0-0
Racing
 Boca Juniors win 6-5 on penalties
Zambrano (20'), Rojo (24'), Romero (45+2'), Fabra (87'), Battaglia (89'), Fernandez (90+2')
Alcaraz (25'), Moreno (31'), Mura (52'), Sigali (79')
Aug 30, 2021 12.15am
Second Phase
Boca Juniors
0-0
Racing
May 31, 2021 7pm
First Phase - Semi-finals
Racing
0-0
Boca Juniors
 Racing win 4-2 on penalties
Moreno (3'), Diaz (67'), Piatti (71'), Orban (86'), Chancalay (90+1')
Izquierdoz (43'), Fabra (49'), Zambrano (52'), Maroni (77')
rhs 2.0
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