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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
2 - 2
Nacional

Merentiel (12'), Advincula (47')
Figal (27'), Advincula (37'), Barco (56')
FT
(aet)
Trezza (16'), Ramirez (75')
Trezza (45+5'), Rodriguez (56'), Damiani (75'), Fagundez (90')
Boca Juniors win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Boca Juniors and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Boca Juniors
Thursday, August 3 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Nacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Boca Juniors
Thursday, August 3 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

We say: Boca Juniors 2-0 Nacional

 There was very little to separate them in the first leg and it is likely that this will be another close game between two strong teams. However, with the home advantage and the recent impressive defensive run that Boca Juniors have been enjoying, they will head into this one as the slight favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 57.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 17.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.01%).

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawNacional
57.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.61% (0.0010000000000012 0) 17.63% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 43.24% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.02% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)56.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)77.88% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.35% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)19.65% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)51.62% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.82% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)46.18% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.14% (0.0019999999999989 0)81.86% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 57.75%
    Nacional 17.63%
    Draw 24.6%
Boca JuniorsDrawNacional
1-0 @ 14.76%
2-0 @ 12.01%
2-1 @ 9.28%
3-0 @ 6.52%
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 57.75%
1-1 @ 11.4%
0-0 @ 9.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 3.59%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 7.01%
1-2 @ 4.41%
0-2 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.14%
2-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 17.63%

How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Nacional

Boca Juniors
89.5%
Draw
0.0%
Nacional
10.5%
19
Head to Head
Aug 3, 2023 1am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Nacional
0-0
Boca Juniors
Rodriguez (77')
Zeballos (76'), Valentini (85')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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