MX23RW : Sunday, May 12 20:53:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jul 5, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
4 - 1
Plaza Colonia

Rodriguez (22'), Lozano (48'), Martinez (63' pen.), Ramirez (86')
Rodriguez (74'), Fagundez (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Perg (90+3' og.)
Ruiz Diaz (42'), Greising (53'), Silva (74'), Bahia (90+4')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Plaza Colonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Metropolitanos
Wednesday, June 28 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Plaza Colonia

All competitions
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 1-1 Fenix
Saturday, June 24 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 10.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.14%) and 3-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawPlaza Colonia
68.96% (0.057999999999993 0.06) 20.54% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03) 10.49% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 37.28% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.89% (0.061 0.06)55.11% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.63% (0.048999999999999 0.05)76.37% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.95% (0.039000000000001 0.04)15.05% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.45% (0.072000000000003 0.07)43.55% (-0.067 -0.07)
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.89% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)56.11% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)88.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 68.96%
    Plaza Colonia 10.49%
    Draw 20.54%
NacionalDrawPlaza Colonia
1-0 @ 15.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 15.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.56% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.75%
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.53% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.71% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 68.96%
1-1 @ 9.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 20.54%
0-1 @ 4.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 10.49%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 10.45pm
Gameweek 3
Plaza Colonia
2-1
Nacional
Fernandez (56'), Ebere (81')
Zabala (85')
Sep 10, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 7
Plaza Colonia
1-3
Nacional
Redin (24')
Rodriguez (14'), Suarez (63'), Zabala (70')
Jul 10, 2022 12am
Gameweek 4
Nacional
3-1
Plaza Colonia
Rodriguez (16'), Rochet (32'), Carballo (88')
Dibble (52'), Fernandez (74'), Quintana (85')
Apr 2, 2022 10.30pm
Gameweek 7
Nacional
1-0
Plaza Colonia
Zabala (84')
Zunino (43'), Candido (52'), Zabala (85'), Fagundez (90+6')

Heredia (5'), Kidd (45'), Fernandez (80'), Ayala (87')
Oct 3, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Nacional
2-1
Plaza Colonia
Candido (10'), Ramirez (90+1')
Rodriguez (32'), Polenta (50'), D'Alessandro (76'), Bergessio (82')
Lopez (51')
Dibble (45+1'), Olivera (61'), Fernandez (71'), Camargo (73'), Mele (76'), Umeres (81'), Suhr (85'), Leonai (88'), Zeballos (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1210202561932
2NacionalNacional1274125151025
3ProgresoProgreso127322420424
4Defensor SportingDefensor1264225141122
5Boston RiverBoston River126331613321
6Cerro Largo125341412218
7LiverpoolLiverpool123631918115
8Racing de MontevideoRacing124351717015
9Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado124261315-214
10River PlateRiver Plate123451517-213
11DanubioDanubio123451216-413
12Montevideo WanderersWanderers123361217-512
13CerroCerro122551321-811
14Rampla JuniorsRampla122371024-149
15Miramar Misiones121561523-88
16FenixFenix12147916-77
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


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