MX23RW : Sunday, May 12 03:39:11| >> :600:1112760:1112760:
St Louis City
CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 21, 2024 at 1am UK
CityPark
Houston Dynamo

St Louis City
2 - 1
Houston

Parker (61'), Kijima (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kowalczyk (72')
Clark (21'), Dorsey (88'), Segal (90+2')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between St Louis City and Houston Dynamo.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions
Last Game: Kansas 2-1 St Louis City
Sunday, November 5 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-0 Houston
Sunday, December 3 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.

Result
St Louis CityDrawHouston Dynamo
37.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 26.14% (0.0019999999999989 0) 36.09% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.2% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)50.8% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.31% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)72.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (0.0040000000000049 0)26.21% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)61.31% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)27.17% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.42% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)62.58% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    St Louis City 37.76%
    Houston Dynamo 36.09%
    Draw 26.14%
St Louis CityDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 9.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 6.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 37.76%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 7.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 9.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 36.09%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 1.30am
Houston
1-1
St Louis City
Baird (42')
Sviatchenko (8'), Escobar (22'), Herrera (25'), Carrasquilla (61')
Klauss (88')
Blom (34'), Parker (90+5')
> Preview
Jun 4, 2023 1.30am
St Louis City
3-0
Houston
Lowen (9' pen.), Ostrak (51'), Gioacchini (83' pen.)
Blom (45+5'), Jackson (69'), Alm (90+1')

Carrasquilla (45+5'), Franco (45+7'), Caicedo (45+2'), Olsen (46'), Bartlow (78')
> Preview
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