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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Stoke logo

Preston
1 - 2
Stoke

Osmajic (68')
Whiteman (21'), McCann (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hughes (64' og.), McNally (87')
Burger (21'), Hoever (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 0-0 Hull City
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-0 Stoke
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 2-1 Stoke City

Preston are enjoying their longest unbeaten run since the beginning of the campaign and will be raring to go after Wednesday night's postponement in Southampton. Stoke face another daunting away trip following their visit to Leeds on Tuesday, and we feel that the Potters will struggle to match the Lilywhites physically at Deepdale, resulting in defeat for Schumacher's charges. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawStoke City
38.31% (0.025000000000006 0.03) 25.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 36.47% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.98% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.34% (0.024000000000001 0.02)46.66% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.08% (0.023 0.02)68.92% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98% (0.025000000000006 0.03)24.02% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72% (0.034999999999997 0.03)58.27% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.99% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.01% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.32%59.68%
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 38.31%
    Stoke City 36.47%
    Draw 25.21%
Preston North EndDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 8.57% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 38.31%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.01% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.33% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 0.94%
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 36.47%

How you voted: Preston vs Stoke

Preston North End
70.0%
Draw
15.0%
Stoke City
15.0%
60
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-2
Preston

Pearson (1'), Stevens (63'), Laurent (90+6')
Keane (51' pen., 57')
Lindsay (24'), Frokjaer-Jensen (45+1'), Holmes (63'), Browne (67')
Jan 2, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 26
Stoke
0-1
Preston
Evans (90+3')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Preston
0-2
Stoke
Smallbone (58'), Campbell (66')
Jan 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Stoke
1-2
Preston
Wilmot (46')
Allen (64'), Doughty (79'), Ince (90+4')
Potts (59'), Hughes (81')
Hughes (49'), Ledson (90+1')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Preston
1-1
Stoke
Whiteman (38')
Cunningham (31'), Riis Jakobsen (88')
Powell (6')
Skiri Oestigaard (25'), Wilmot (83'), Tymon (90'), Clucas (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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