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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Stoke
2 - 0
Middlesbrough

Bae (40'), Baker (71')
Laurent (46'), Wilmot (51'), Ennis (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Latte Lath (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Stoke
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Middlesbrough

At some point, the feeling may be that Stoke's array of talent will finally return to form, and facing a side like Boro represents the ideal opportunity. However, we are backing Carrick's inconsistent side to take advantage of playing with less pressure to prevail at the bet365 Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawMiddlesbrough
35.46% (0.00099999999999767 0) 24.27% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 40.26% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.23% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.61% (0.026999999999994 0.03)42.38% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.21% (0.027999999999999 0.03)64.79% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4% (0.015000000000001 0.02)23.6% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.32% (0.018000000000001 0.02)57.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (0.012999999999991 0.01)21.16% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.98% (0.020000000000003 0.02)54.02% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 35.46%
    Middlesbrough 40.26%
    Draw 24.27%
Stoke CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.09%
1-0 @ 7.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 35.46%
1-1 @ 11.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.27%
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.12%
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 40.26%

How you voted: Stoke vs Middlesbrough

Stoke City
26.3%
Draw
26.3%
Middlesbrough
47.4%
19
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Middlesbrough
0-2
Stoke

McNair (53'), van den Berg (57')
Rose (8'), Leris (37')
Thompson (69'), Stevens (90+2')
Mar 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Middlesbrough
1-1
Stoke
Akpom (23')
Hoever (45')
Aug 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Stoke
2-2
Middlesbrough
Brown (19'), Wright-Phillips (90+1')
Brown (41'), Baker (51')
Watmore (38'), Jagielka (63' og.)
Dijksteel (90+1')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Middlesbrough
3-1
Stoke
Crooks (21', 72'), Baker (25' og.)
Powell (90+4')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stoke
0-0
Middlesbrough
Batth (35'), Smith (72')
Dijksteel (10')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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