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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | VfL Bochum |
43.61% ( 0.37) | 24.1% ( -0.09) | 32.29% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 59.9% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.59% ( 0.29) | 42.41% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.18% ( 0.29) | 64.82% ( -0.29) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.34% ( 0.28) | 19.65% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.37% ( 0.45) | 51.63% ( -0.46) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.56% ( -0.03) | 25.44% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.74% ( -0.04) | 60.26% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | VfL Bochum |
2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.12% Total : 43.61% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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