MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 21:58:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
SV Darmstadt
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga
Mainz logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 28, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
VfL Bochum

Mainz
5 - 2
VfL Bochum

Jae-sung (1'), Widmer (17'), Onisiwo (28', 57', 87')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Kunde (70'), Masovic (72')
Schlotterbeck (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last Game: Mainz 1-2 Dortmund
Wednesday, January 25 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 VfL Bochum
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 1-1 VfL Bochum

 With both teams defeated in midweek, we can envisage each manager aiming to keep things tight at the MEWA Arena on Saturday, especially given their lowly positions in the league table. As such, it would be little surprise to see Mainz draw 1-1 for the fifth time already this season, which would represent a decent result for both teams in their current situations. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 52.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 23.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawVfL Bochum
52.51% (-0.14299999999999 -0.14) 24.11% (0.029 0.03) 23.37% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 52.85% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)48.5% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.37% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)70.63% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)18.43% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.4% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)49.6% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.8% (0.101 0.1)35.2% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.04% (0.106 0.11)71.95% (-0.105 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 52.51%
    VfL Bochum 23.37%
    Draw 24.1%
Mainz 05DrawVfL Bochum
1-0 @ 10.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.28% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.23% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 52.51%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.77% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.98% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.54% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 23.37%

How you voted: Mainz vs VfL Bochum

Mainz 05
56.4%
Draw
30.8%
VfL Bochum
12.8%
39
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
VfL Bochum
1-2
Mainz
Stoger (39')
Stafylidis (13'), Ganvoula (90+3')
Onisiwo (26', 77')
Stach (33'), Bell (64'), Burgzorg (84')
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Last 16
VfL Bochum
3-1
Mainz
Pantovic (56' pen., 59'), Lowen (80')
Onisiwo (36')
Jae-sung (14'), Barreiro (55'), Bell (65'), Stach (75')
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Mainz
1-0
VfL Bochum
St Juste (48')
Stach (55'), Stoger (85'), Nebel (86'), Svensson (88')

Bella-Kotchap (70'), Gamboa (76'), Rexhbecaj (89')
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
VfL Bochum
2-0
Mainz
Holtmann (21'), Polter (56')
Rexhbecaj (54'), Riemann (87'), Asano (90+3'), Zoller (90+4')

Boetius (56'), Barreiro (67'), Kohr (89')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Second Round
Mainz
2-2
VfL Bochum
 VfL Bochum win 3-0 on penalties
Boetius (7'), Latza (55')
Mateta (90+4'), Ji (100')
Holtmann (66'), Tesche (90+4')
Gamboa (2'), Leitsch (32'), Blum (75')
Riemann (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617
> Bundesliga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!