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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 67.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 13.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | VfL Bochum |
67.75% ( 0.56) | 18.92% ( -0.18) | 13.32% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 50.63% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.17% ( -0.06) | 41.83% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.77% ( -0.06) | 64.23% ( 0.05) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.64% ( 0.13) | 11.36% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.93% ( 0.29) | 36.06% ( -0.29) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.12% ( -0.6) | 42.88% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.81% ( -0.52) | 79.19% ( 0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | VfL Bochum |
2-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.79% Total : 67.75% | 1-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.95% Total : 18.92% | 0-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.42% Total : 13.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 67 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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