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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 22, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Borussia-Park
Leverkusen logo

Borussia M'bach
2 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Stindl (82', 90+3')
Kone (44'), Weigl (89'), Stindl (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bakker (21'), Adli (43'), Amiri (67')
Bakker (90+6'), Sinkgraven (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-3 Rangers
Saturday, December 10 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen

There are goals in both sides, but Gladbach's defensive deficiencies will only be worsened by losing Sommer. Leverkusen love playing Gladbach and will hope to start 2023 with a victory to move further up the table, but it is tough to separate the sides on paper. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 52.7%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.93%) and 1-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBayer Leverkusen
52.7% (-0.499 -0.5) 21.53% (0.0040000000000013 0) 25.77% (0.495 0.5)
Both teams to score 64.49% (0.524 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.63% (0.458 0.46)34.36% (-0.457 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.72% (0.512 0.51)56.28% (-0.513 -0.51)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.71% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)13.29% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.88% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)40.11% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.38% (0.601 0.6)25.62% (-0.601 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.49% (0.81 0.81)60.51% (-0.809 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 52.7%
    Bayer Leverkusen 25.77%
    Draw 21.53%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.93% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-0 @ 6.87% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-1 @ 6.35% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.67% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-2 @ 4.33% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.21% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.18% (0.025 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.99% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 52.7%
1-1 @ 9.36% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.072 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.96% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.53%
1-2 @ 6.37% (0.07 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.64% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.16% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.08 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.039 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 25.77%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs B. Leverkusen

Borussia Monchengladbach
55.7%
Draw
22.7%
Bayer Leverkusen
21.6%
97
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 5.30pm
Borussia M'bach
1-2
B. Leverkusen
Elvedi (81')
Stindl (45+1'), Beyer (83')
Andrich (51'), Schick (74')
Tah (28'), Bakker (36'), Demirbay (90+4')
Aug 21, 2021 5.30pm
B. Leverkusen
4-0
Borussia M'bach
Sommer (3' og.), Schick (8'), Diaby (55'), Amiri (87')
Demirbay (34'), Bakker (41'), Paulinho (48'), Diaby (90+1')

Kramer (75'), Wolf (76')
Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm
Nov 8, 2020 5pm
B. Leverkusen
4-3
Borussia M'bach
Alario (27', 41'), Bailey (68'), Baumgartlinger (82')
Hradecky (18'), Bender (51'), Wirtz (84'), Diaby (86')
Stindl (18' pen., 29'), Lazaro (90+4')
Bensebaini (45+4'), Embolo (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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