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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 52.7%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.93%) and 1-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
52.7% ( -0.5) | 21.53% ( 0) | 25.77% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 64.49% ( 0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.63% ( 0.46) | 34.36% ( -0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.72% ( 0.51) | 56.28% ( -0.51) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.71% ( 0.01) | 13.29% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.88% ( 0.01) | 40.11% ( -0.01) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.38% ( 0.6) | 25.62% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.49% ( 0.81) | 60.51% ( -0.81) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 52.7% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.53% | 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.38% Total : 25.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 67 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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