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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
VfL Bochum

Dortmund
3 - 0
VfL Bochum

Moukoko (8', 45+2'), Reyna (12' pen.)
Ozcan (79')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Gamboa (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Copenhagen 1-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, November 2 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 4-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-0 VfL Bochum

We expect Dortmund to have far too much quality for Bochum, who have failed to register a single point on the road this season. Having conceded four goals in each of their last three away matches, the visitors may be content with keeping the scoreline as low as possible, while Terzic will be satisfied with any victory given his side's fixture pile-up. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 68.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 14.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 3-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawVfL Bochum
68.84% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14) 17.09% (0.041 0.04) 14.07% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 59.84% (0.11 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.93% (0.016000000000005 0.02)31.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.53% (0.021000000000001 0.02)52.47% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.79% (-0.023999999999987 -0.02)8.21% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.27% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)28.72% (0.061 0.06)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.19% (0.13799999999999 0.14)34.8% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.46% (0.144 0.14)71.54% (-0.143 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 68.84%
    VfL Bochum 14.07%
    Draw 17.09%
Borussia DortmundDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 8.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.44% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.65% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.59% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 2.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.3%
6-1 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
6-0 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 68.84%
1-1 @ 7.54% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17.09%
1-2 @ 3.98% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.01% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.59% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 14.07%

How you voted: Dortmund vs VfL Bochum

Borussia Dortmund
91.9%
Draw
4.0%
VfL Bochum
4.0%
99
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
Dortmund
3-4
VfL Bochum
Braut Haaland (18' pen., 30' pen., 62')
Bellingham (24'), Brandt (54'), Rothe (89'), Papadopoulos (90+3')
Polter (3'), Holtmann (8'), Locadia (81'), Pantovic (85' pen.)
Losilla (31'), Masovic (35'), Zoller (90+2')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
VfL Bochum
1-1
Dortmund
Polter (40' pen.)
Brandt (85')
Schulz (57'), Hummels (58'), Zagadou (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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