Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.