Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 20.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a IFK Goteborg win it was 1-0 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.