Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-2 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.