World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Semi-Finals

Mar 21, 2025 at 6.10am UK

Sky Stadium

New Zealand
7 - 0
Fiji

Wood (6', 6', 56', 56', 60', 60'), Singh (16', 16'), Bindon (23', 23'), Payne (32', 32'), Barbarouses (73', 73')

FT(HT: 8-0)

Moceituba Dogalau (47'), Moceituba Dogalau (47')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Semi-Finals clash between New Zealand and Fiji.

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Samoa 0-8 New Zealand
Monday, November 18 at 6.30am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	5	7
2	Mexico	3	2	7
3	Russia	3	0	3
4	New Zealand	3	-7	0

Fiji

Last Game: Solomon Islands 1-3 Fiji
Saturday, December 21 at 7am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 76.16%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Fiji had a probability of 8.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.29%) and 3-0 (10.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for a Fiji win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.

Result
New Zealand	Draw	Fiji
76.16% ( 3.04)	15.57% ( -1.71)	8.26% ( -1.34)

Both teams to score 43.7% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.94% (

3.4)

41.05% (

-3.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.55% (

3.38)

63.45% (

-3.38)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.94% (

1.62)

9.05% (

-1.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.2% (

3.77)

30.8% (

-3.77)

Fiji Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.05% (

-0.74)

51.94% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.03% (

-0.49)

85.97% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

New Zealand 76.15%

Fiji 8.26%

Draw 15.57%

New Zealand	Draw	Fiji
2-0 @ 13.56% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.94) 3-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.66) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.29) 4-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.82) 4-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.45) 5-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.58) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.35) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.12) 6-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.3) Other @ 3.47% Total : 76.15%	1-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.79) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.77) 2-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.56% Total : 15.57%	0-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.58) 1-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.22) Other @ 1.75% Total : 8.26%