Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 76.16%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Fiji had a probability of 8.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.29%) and 3-0 (10.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for a Fiji win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.