Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Andorra win with a probability of 41.6%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.87%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Latvia would win this match.