Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 57.83%. A win for Leicester City Women had a probability of 21.73% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.62%) and 0-1 (7.07%). The likeliest Leicester City Women win was 2-1 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.