Haverfordwest County vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 22.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.