Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 19.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.51%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 1-0 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.