Welsh Premier League
May 11, 2025 at 5.10pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
0 - 0
Cardiff MU

FT

Roscrow (3'), Reynolds (45+1'), Rees (84'), (90+7')
Caernarfon win 4-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caernarfon 5-2 Barry
Saturday, April 26 at 12.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-0 Bala Town
Saturday, April 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
47.79%24.45%27.75%
Both teams to score 55.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.62%46.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.34%68.66%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.51%19.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.65%51.35%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.53%30.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.32%66.68%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 47.79%
    Cardiff MU 27.75%
    Draw 24.44%
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 9.71%
2-1 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 7.94%
3-1 @ 5.15%
3-0 @ 4.33%
3-2 @ 3.06%
4-1 @ 2.1%
4-0 @ 1.77%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 47.79%
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 5.94%
2-2 @ 5.61%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.44%
0-1 @ 7.06%
1-2 @ 6.86%
0-2 @ 4.19%
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 27.75%

Head to Head
Apr 19, 2025 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Caernarfon
2-1
Cardiff MU
Mooney (52'), Lloyd (68')
Hudson (86')
Roscrow (33')
Mar 8, 2025 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Cardiff MU
4-2
Caernarfon
Reynolds (24'), Jones (56', 80'), Rees (72')
Rees (71')
Hudson (33'), Hill (46')
Lloyd (88'), Hudson (90+4'), Hill (90+4')
Oct 5, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Cardiff MU
1-2
Caernarfon
Rees (3')
Craven (90+4')
Lloyd (38', 56')
Clarke (82')
Downey (90+5'), Downey (90+5')
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
1-2
Cardiff MU
Lloyd (19' pen.)
Owen (22'), Lloyd (87')
Clubb (6'), Reynolds (42')
Edwards (67')
May 10, 2024 7.45pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Cardiff MU
Williams (86'), Davies (90')
Lloyd (63'), Williams (87')

Craven (48'), McCarthy (55')
rhs 2.0


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