Welsh Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Manor Road
  • Jonathan Evans 37' yellowcard
  • Charlie Davies 71' yellowcard
  • Matthew Delaney 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Callum West 45'
  • yellowcard Freddie Redshaw 55'
  • yellowcard Iwan Murray 71'
  • goal Harry Franklin 81'

Ammanford vs Connah's Quay Nomads - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ammanford

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 14, 2026 7.45pm
Airbus UK 2 - 0 Ammanford
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Matthew Delaney

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 14, 2026 7.45pm
Connah's Quay 6 - 0 Trefelin
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Hussein Mehasseb

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Ammanford had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Ammanford win was 1-0 (6.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Ammanford 25.17% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 23.9%
Connah's Quay Nomads 50.93% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.4% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 23.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 52.68% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 47.32% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 30.47% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 69.53% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 17.9% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 82.1% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Ammanford 21.98% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 39.73% ▼ (-0.03)
Connah's Quay Nomads 38.28% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Ammanford 36.13% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 6.59% ▼ (-0.03)
Connah's Quay Nomads 57.28% ▲ (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 55.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 32.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 44.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 44.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 10.5 33.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 10.5 66.53% ▲ (+0.02)

Ammanford Goals

Over 1.5 27.85% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 72.15% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 9.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.75%
Under 3.5 97.25%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 78.7% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 21.3% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 48.35% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 51.65% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 23.43% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 76.57% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 8.93% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 91.07% ▼ (-0.06)

Score analysis

Ammanford 25.17%
Draw 23.91%
Connah's Quay Nomads 50.93%
Ammanford
1-0 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 1.83%
3-0 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 25.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.91%
Connah's Quay Nomads
0-1 @ 10.37% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.46% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 50.93%