Welsh Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Manor Road
  • Jonathan Evans 37' yellowcard
  • Charlie Davies 71' yellowcard
  • Matthew Delaney 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Callum West 45'
  • yellowcard Freddie Redshaw 55'
  • yellowcard Iwan Murray 71'
  • goal Harry Franklin 81'

Ammanford vs Connah's Quay Nomads - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ammanford

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 14, 2026 7.45pm
Airbus UK 2 - 0 Ammanford

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 14, 2026 7.45pm
Connah's Quay 6 - 0 Trefelin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Ammanford has a probability of 25.17% and a draw has a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Ammanford win is 1-0 (6.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.36%).

Result

Ammanford 25.17% (-0.07)
Draw 23.9%
Connah's Quay Nomads 50.93% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.4% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.3% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 23.7% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 52.68% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 47.32% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 30.47% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 69.53% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 17.9% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 82.1% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Ammanford 21.98% (-0.04)
Draw 39.73% (-0.03)
Connah's Quay Nomads 38.28% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Ammanford 36.13% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.59% (-0.03)
Connah's Quay Nomads 57.28% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 55.53% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.48% (+0.01)
Under 8 32.99% (-0.02)
Over 9 44.04% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.49% (+0.01)
Under 9 44.47% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 33.47% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 66.53% (+0.02)

Ammanford Goals

Over 1.5 27.85% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 72.15% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 9.13% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.87% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.75%
Under 3.5 97.25%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 78.7% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 21.3% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 48.35% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 51.65% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 23.43% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 76.57% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 8.93% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 91.07% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Ammanford 25.17%
Draw 23.91%
Connah's Quay Nomads 50.93%
Ammanford
1-0 @ 6.75% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.44% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 3.79% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 1.83%
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 25.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.02% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.91%
Connah's Quay Nomads
0-1 @ 10.37% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.61% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.46% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.38% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.72% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.47% (+0.02)
Other @ 8.92% (+0.06)
Total : 50.93%