World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 20, 2025 at 4pm UK

Uzbekistan
1 - 0
Kyrgyzstan

Alizhonov (40', 40')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uzbekistan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Uzbekistan 0-0 Jordan
Monday, January 27 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Iran vs. Uzbekistan
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

Kyrgyzstan

All competitions

Last Game: UAE 3-0 Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Kyrgyzstan vs. Qatar
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 74.42%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 8.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.64%) and 3-0 (10.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Uzbekistan	Draw	Kyrgyzstan
74.42% ( -0.17)	17.14% ( 0.12)	8.44% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 39.3% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.5% (

-0.35)

47.5% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.29% (

-0.32)

69.71% (

0.32)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.84% (

-0.14)

11.16% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.36% (

-0.31)

35.64% (

0.3)

Kyrgyzstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.24% (

-0.11)

55.76% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.67% (

-0.07)

88.33% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Uzbekistan 74.41%

Kyrgyzstan 8.44%

Draw 17.14%

Uzbekistan	Draw	Kyrgyzstan
2-0 @ 14.96% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 13.64% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 6% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 74.41%	1-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.39% Total : 17.14%	0-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.33% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.41% Total : 8.44%