International Friendlies
May 31, 2026 8.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Bank of America Stadium
  • Sergiño Dest 7' goal
  • Christian Pulisic 20' goal
  • Folarin Balogun 63' goal
  • Malik Tillman 66' yellowcard
  • goal Sadio Mané 44'
  • goal Sadio Mané 52'

USA vs Senegal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Apr 1, 2026 12.00am
USA 0 - 2 Portugal

Senegal

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 8.00pm
Senegal 3 - 1 Gambia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for USA had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest USA win was 2-1 (6.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result

USA 29.17% (-0.04)
Draw 23.92%
Senegal 46.91% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.8% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.29%
Under 1.5 18.71%
Over 2.5 59.39% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 40.61% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 36.88%
Under 3.5 63.12%
Over 4.5 22.71% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 77.29% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

USA 21.45%
Draw 37.64%
Senegal 40.91%

Team To Score First

USA 37.72%
No Goal 5.04%
Senegal 57.24%

Corners

Over 8 50.26%
Equal 8 11.54%
Under 8 38.2%
Over 9 39.16%
Equal 9 11.1%
Under 9 49.74%
Over 10.5 29.32%
Under 10.5 70.68%

USA Goals

Over 1.5 34.82% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 65.18% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 14.2% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 85.8% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.74% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.26% (+0.02)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5 78.45% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 21.55% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 50.22% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 49.78% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 24.9% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 75.1% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 10.83% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 89.17% (-0.02)

Score analysis

USA 29.18%
Draw 23.91%
Senegal 46.91%
USA
2-1 @ 6.93% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 5.98% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.15%
3-1 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 2.62%
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.34% (-0.01)
Total : 29.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 6.3%
0-0 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 23.91%
Senegal
1-2 @ 9.15% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.69% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.25% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.75% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.4%
2-3 @ 3.24% (+0.02)
Other @ 10.43% (+0.01)
Total : 46.91%