CONCACAF Nations League
USA
Mar 20, 2025 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Masafi Stadium
Panama
  • Chris Richards 72' yellowcard
  • Chris Richards 72' yellowcard
  • Christian Pulisic 90' yellowcard
  • Christian Pulisic 90' yellowcard
  • goal Cecilio Waterman Ruiz 90'+4'
  • goal Cecilio Waterman Ruiz 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Cecilio Waterman Ruiz 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Cecilio Waterman Ruiz 90'+6'

USA vs Panama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions

Panama

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Panama had a probability of 17.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

USA 60.03% ▲ (+0.64)
Draw 22.46% ▼ (-0.34)
Panama 17.51% ▼ (-0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.05% ▲ (+0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.94% ▲ (+0.92)
Under 2.5 49.06% ▼ (-0.92)
Over 3.5 28.86% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 3.5 71.14% ▼ (-0.83)
Over 4.5 13.89% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 4.5 86.11% ▼ (-0.56)

USA Goals

Over 0.5 84.06% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 0.5 15.94% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 1.5 54.79% ▲ (+0.98)
Under 1.5 45.21% ▼ (-0.97)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5 58.36% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 0.5 41.64% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 1.5 21.88% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 78.13% ▼ (-0.16)

Score analysis

USA 60.03%
Draw 22.45%
Panama 17.51%
USA
1-0 @ 12.19% ▼ (-0.24)
2-0 @ 11.19% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.81% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 6.85% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 6% ▲ (+0.14)
4-0 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.11)
4-1 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.06)
5-0 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.07)
5-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-94.49)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 60.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.67% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.26)
2-2 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 22.45%
Panama
0-1 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.20)
1-2 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 17.51%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
USA
Oct 13, 2024 2.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Al Saqr Stadium
Panama
  • Yunus Musah 49' goal
  • Yunus Musah 49' goal
  • Ricardo Pepi 90'+4' goal
  • Ricardo Pepi 90'+4' goal
Copa America
Panama
Jun 27, 2024 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 2
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
USA
  • Cesar Blackman 26' goal
  • Eduardo Guerrero 45' yellowcard
  • Jose Fajardo 83' goal
  • Adalberto Carrasquilla 88' redcard
  • Edgardo Farina 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Freddy Gondola 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Weston McKennie 5'
  • redcard Timothy Weah 18'
  • goal Folarin Balogun 22'
  • yellowcard Antonee Robinson 33'
  • yellowcard Chris Richards 89'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
USA
Jul 13, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET
Panama
  • Jesus Ferreira 105' goal
  • Jesus Ferreira 105' goal
  • goal Ivan Anderson 99'
  • goal Ivan Anderson 99'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
USA
Mar 28, 2022 12.00am
5
1
HT : 4 0
FT
Panama
  • Christian Pulisic 17' goal
  • Paul Arriola 23' goal
  • Jesus Ferreira 27' goal
  • Christian Pulisic 45'+4' goal
  • Christian Pulisic 65' goal
  • Christian Pulisic 69' yellowcard
  • Aaron Long 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anibal Godoy 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Rolando Blackburn 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Erick Davis 57'
  • goal Anibal Godoy 86'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Panama
Oct 10, 2021 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Rommel Fernandez Gutierrez
USA
  • Anibal Godoy 54' goal
  • Anibal Godoy 54' goal
  • Alfredo Stephens 76' yellowcard
  • Alfredo Stephens 76' yellowcard
International Friendlies
USA
Nov 16, 2020 7.45pm
6
2
HT : 3 1
FT Wiener Neustadter Stadion
Panama
  • Giovanni Reyna 18' goal
  • Nicholas Gioacchini 22' goal
  • Nicholas Gioacchini 26' goal
  • Weston McKennie 50' yellowcard
  • Nicholas Gioacchini 51' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Soto 83' goal
  • Sebastian Lletget 87' goal
  • Sebastian Soto 90'+1' goal
  • goal Jose Fajardo 8'
  • yellowcard Fidel Escobar 41'
  • yellowcard Michael Murillo 42'
  • yellowcard Victor Griffith 70'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Torres 73'
  • goal Jose Fajardo 79'

Form Data

USA 3 - 0 Costa Rica
USA 3 - 1 Venezuela
USA 4 - 2 Jamaica
Jamaica 0 - 1 USA
Mexico 2 - 0 USA
USA 2 - 0 Panama
Chile 6 - 1 Panama
Panama 2 - 2 Costa Rica
Costa Rica 0 - 1 Panama
Canada 2 - 1 Panama
USA 2 - 0 Panama
Colombia 5 - 0 Panama