Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win with a probability of 57.71%. A win for Virginia Dream had a probability of 21.23% and a draw had a probability of 21.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest Virginia Dream win was 0-1 (5.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.