Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.22% and a win for Steel City had a probability of 16.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%) , while for a Steel City win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.