Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Loudoun United had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%) , while for a Loudoun United win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood.