Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union II win with a probability of 58.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.01% and a win for Loudoun United had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%) , while for a Loudoun United win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.