Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carolina Core win with a probability of 57.4%. A win for Virginia Dream had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carolina Core win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.28%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Virginia Dream win was 1-2 (5.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.