US Open Cup
Mar 19, 2026 10.00pm
South Carolina United FC BB&T Soccer Complex

Carolina Core vs Virginia Dream - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carolina Core

All competitions

Virginia Dream

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carolina Core win with a probability of 57.4%. A win for Virginia Dream has a probability of 24.63% and a draw has a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carolina Core win is 2-1 with a probability of 7.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.28%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Virginia Dream win is 1-2 (5.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.03%).

Result

Carolina Core 57.4% (-1.61)
Draw 17.97% (+0.49)
Virginia Dream 24.63% (+1.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.55% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 88.73% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 11.27% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 73.03% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 26.96% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 52.84% (-0.71)
Under 3.5 47.16% (+0.71)
Over 4.5 38.36% (-0.86)
Under 4.5 61.64% (+0.86)

First Half Winner

Carolina Core 38.51% (-2.02)
Draw 35.04% (+0.52)
Virginia Dream 26.45% (+1.49)

Team To Score First

Carolina Core 57.29% (-2.19)
No Goal 2.79% (+0.11)
Virginia Dream 39.92% (+2.10)

Corners

Over 8 63.19% (+0.90)
Equal 8 10.05% (-0.26)
Under 8 26.75% (-0.65)
Over 9 52.51% (+1.09)
Equal 9 10.69% (-0.18)
Under 9 36.81% (-0.90)
Over 10.5 42.01% (+1.17)
Under 10.5 57.99% (-1.17)

Carolina Core Goals

Over 1.5 63.22% (-1.30)
Under 1.5 36.78% (+1.29)
Over 2.5 40.9% (-1.92)
Under 2.5 59.1% (+1.92)
Over 3.5 22.41% (-1.81)
Under 3.5 77.59% (+1.80)

Virginia Dream Goals

Over 0.5 58.35% (+1.75)
Under 0.5 41.65% (-1.75)
Over 1.5 34.27% (+1.73)
Under 1.5 65.73% (-1.72)
Over 2.5 15.91% (+1.02)
Under 2.5 84.09% (-1.02)
Over 3.5 6.76% (+0.75)
Under 3.5 93.24% (-0.75)

Score analysis

Carolina Core 57.41%
Draw 17.98%
Virginia Dream 24.63%
Carolina Core
2-1 @ 7.64% (+0.24)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 5.96% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 5.59% (-0.18)
1-0 @ 5.37% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 4.61% (+0.13)
Other @ 21.96% (-1.84)
Total : 57.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.03% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.7% (+0.25)
0-0 @ 2.79% (+0.11)
3-3 @ 2.01% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.45% (+0.05)
Total : 17.98%
Virginia Dream
1-2 @ 5.36% (+0.36)
0-1 @ 3.13% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 3.02% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.69% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.51% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.61% (+0.13)
Other @ 6.31% (+0.70)
Total : 24.63%