Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Sep 6, 2026 8.30pm
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional vs Juventud - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 7.30pm
Penarol 0 - 1 Nacional
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Maxi Gomez

Juventud

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 6.00pm
Juventud 2 - 0 Maldonado
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Fernando Mimbacas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 55.03%. A draw has a probability of 26.63% and a win for Juventud has a probability of 18.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.95%) , while for a Juventud win it is 0-1 (7.48%).

Result

Nacional 55.03% (+0.08)
Draw 26.63% (+0.01)
Juventud 18.34% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.56% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.91% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 34.09% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 39.86% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 60.14% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 19.24% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 80.76% (+0.17)
Over 4.5 10.19% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 89.81% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Nacional 38.2% (+0.31)
Draw 45.71% (-0.33)
Juventud 16.09% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Nacional 60.24% (+0.08)
No Goal 10.92% (+0.06)
Juventud 28.84% (-0.13)

Corners

Over 8 51.44% (-0.18)
Equal 8 12.28% (+0.01)
Under 8 36.28% (+0.17)
Over 9 39.52% (-0.17)
Equal 9 11.91% (-0.01)
Under 9 48.56% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 28.95% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 71.05% (+0.15)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 43.96% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 56.04% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 18.58% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 81.42% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.1% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.9% (+0.02)

Juventud Goals

Over 0.5 50.34% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 49.66% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 16.72% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 83.28% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 3.93% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 96.07% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 0.81% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 99.19% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Nacional 55.03%
Draw 26.64%
Juventud 18.33%
Nacional
1-0 @ 15.69% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 11.36% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.75% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 5.6% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.09% (-0.01)
Total : 55.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 10.92% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.64%
Juventud
0-1 @ 7.48% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 4.53% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.74% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.8% (-0.03)
Total : 18.33%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Jun 6, 2026 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Camilo Cándido 9' yellowcard
  • Juan García 33' yellowcard
  • Nicolás López 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Tomás Viera 47' yellowcard
  • Agustín Rogel 56' yellowcard
  • Tomás Viera 61' redcard
  • Emiliano Ancheta 65' goal
  • Luciano Boggio 88' goal
  • Paolo Calione 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Bruno Larregui 42'
  • yellowcard Fernando Mimbacas 50'
  • yellowcard Patricio Pernicone 56'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Más 74'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas
  • Alejo Cruz 19' goal
  • Gonzalo Gómez 32' goal
  • Mateo Izaguirre 53' goal
  • Agustín Alaniz 62' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Chagas 62' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Pérez 62' yellowcard
  • Bruno Larregui 81' yellowcard
  • Patricio Pernicone 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emiliano Ancheta 34'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Carneiro 46'
  • goal Maxi Gómez 49'
  • yellowcard Baltasar Barcia 67'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Silvera 67'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Sep 28, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division
Jun 19, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Exequiel Mereles de la Quintana 17' goal
  • Sebastian Coates 24' yellowcard
  • Ivan Rodrigo Rodriguez Magliano 28' goal
  • Romulo Otero 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Baez 50' goal
  • Lucas Martin Villalba Jaume 72' goal
  • yellowcard Ivan Rossi 21'
  • yellowcard Facundo Nahuel Perez Bertinat 38'
  • goal Agustin Rodriguez 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Mar 30, 2025 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Diego Polenta 4' redcard
  • Lucas Morales 62' goal
  • Luis Mejia 78' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lopez 84' yellowcard
  • goal Agustin Rodriguez 20'
  • yellowcard Angel David Morosini Pereira 61'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Chagas 90'+3'
  • goal Rodrigo Chagas 90'+4'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Dec 5, 2019 11.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Franco Munoz 6' yellowcard
  • Juan Mathias Bogado 47' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Felipe Carballo 45'
  • goal Gonzalo Bergessio 48'
  • goal Santiago Rodriguez 84'
  • goal Gonzalo Bergessio 87'