Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2026 6.00pm
Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas

Juventud vs Deportivo Maldonado - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventud

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Central Español 0 - 1 Juventud
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Fernando Mimbacas

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 10.30pm
Maldonado 0 - 0 Penarol
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Christian Tabó

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Juventud win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado has a probability of 34.57% and a draw has a probability of 29.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventud win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win is 0-1 (11.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.41%).

Result

Juventud 36.35% (-0.04)
Draw 29.13% (+0.13)
Deportivo Maldonado 34.57% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.06% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.93% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 34.07% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 39.81% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 60.19% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 19.27% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 80.73% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 9.77% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 90.23% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Juventud 27.69% (-0.08)
Draw 47.73% (+0.08)
Deportivo Maldonado 24.58%

Team To Score First

Juventud 47.05% (-0.09)
No Goal 11.06% (+0.07)
Deportivo Maldonado 41.89% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 47.84% (-0.13)
Equal 8 11.84% (-0.01)
Under 8 40.31% (+0.14)
Over 9 36.67% (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.17% (-0.02)
Under 9 52.16% (+0.13)
Over 10.5 26.96% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 73.04% (+0.10)

Juventud Goals

Over 1.5 30.86% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 69.14% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 11.27% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 88.73% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.95% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.05% (+0.02)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5 65.31% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 34.69% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 29.88% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 70.12% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 9.89% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 90.11% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.64% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.36% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Juventud 36.35%
Draw 29.13%
Deportivo Maldonado 34.55%
Juventud
1-0 @ 11.6% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 7.67%
2-0 @ 6.45%
3-1 @ 2.91% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.67% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.94% (-0.03)
Total : 36.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.41% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 11.06% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.13%
Deportivo Maldonado
0-1 @ 11.44%
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 6.27% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.61%
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.63% (-0.03)
Total : 34.55%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Aug 1, 2026 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
  • Facundo Tealde   47' yellowcard
  • Christian Tabó 53' yellowcard
  • Santiago Cartagena 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emanuel Cecchini 19'
  • yellowcard Facundo Pérez 84'
  • yellowcard 84'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Mar 2, 2026 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
  • Matías Espíndola 30' goal
  • Nicolás Fuica 32' yellowcard
  • Adrian Vila 32' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Noble 38' goal
  • Sebastián González 77' yellowcard
  • Santiago Ramírez 77' yellowcard
  • Adrian Vila 84' yellowcard
  • Guillermo López 85' yellowcard
  • goal Fernando Mimbacas 20'
  • yellowcard Alejo Cruz 59'
  • yellowcard Leonel Roldán 59'
  • yellowcard Sebastián Guerrero 75'
  • yellowcard Mateo Izaguirre 75'
  • yellowcard Martín Boselli 84'