Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 7.00pm
Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo

Danubio vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Progreso 1 - 0 Danubio
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Maicol Ferreira

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 7.30pm
Penarol 0 - 1 Nacional
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Matias Arezo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 48.94%. A draw has a probability of 30.14% and a win for Danubio has a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 0-1 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.27%) , while for a Danubio win it is 1-0 (8.77%).

Result

Danubio 20.92% (+0.56)
Draw 30.14% (-0.10)
Penarol 48.94% (-0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.04% (+1.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.82% (+1.62)
Under 1.5 36.18% (-1.62)
Over 2.5 36.6% (+1.60)
Under 2.5 63.4% (-1.59)
Over 3.5 17.9% (+1.18)
Under 3.5 82.1% (-1.19)
Over 4.5 8.98% (+0.68)
Under 4.5 91.02% (-0.69)

First Half Winner

Danubio 20.36% (-0.34)
Draw 48.28% (+0.33)
Penarol 31.36%

Team To Score First

Danubio 34.48% (+1.40)
No Goal 12.38% (-0.57)
Penarol 53.14% (-0.83)

Corners

Over 8 44.92% (-1.87)
Equal 8 12.16% (-0.16)
Under 8 42.91% (+2.01)
Over 9 33.73% (-1.57)
Equal 9 11.19% (-0.32)
Under 9 55.08% (+1.87)
Over 10.5 24.26% (-1.15)
Under 10.5 75.75% (+1.16)

Danubio Goals

Over 1.5 18.42% (+1.15)
Under 1.5 81.58% (-1.15)
Over 2.5 4.1% (+0.82)
Under 2.5 95.9% (-0.82)
Over 3.5 0.82% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 99.18% (-0.16)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 73.64% (+0.41)
Under 0.5 26.36% (-0.41)
Over 1.5 39.26% (+0.97)
Under 1.5 60.74% (-0.97)
Over 2.5 15.85% (+0.59)
Under 2.5 84.15% (-0.58)
Over 3.5 5.07% (+0.41)
Under 3.5 94.93% (-0.40)

Score analysis

Danubio 20.92%
Draw 30.15%
Penarol 48.94%
Danubio
1-0 @ 8.77% (-0.30)
2-1 @ 4.91% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 3.72% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 1.16% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.76% (+0.11)
Total : 20.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 12.38% (-0.57)
2-2 @ 3.92% (+0.26)
Other @ 0.06% (+0.05)
Total : 30.15%
Penarol
0-1 @ 15.04% (-0.79)
0-2 @ 10.22% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 8.41% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.64% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.85% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.17)
Other @ 5.01% (+0.35)
Total : 48.94%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Mar 7, 2026 11.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Diego Laxalt 5' yellowcard
  • Kevin Rodríguez 46' yellowcard
  • Luis Angulo 57' yellowcard
  • Facundo Batista 73' yellowcard
  • Luis Angulo 77' goal
  • goal Enzo Cabrera 9'
  • yellowcard Ivo Costantino 63'
  • yellowcard Leandro Sosa  63'
  • yellowcard Enrique Femia 74'
  • yellowcard Sebastián Fernández 80'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 5, 2025 10.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 10
Apr 5, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Hernan Novick 27' yellowcard
  • goal Hector Villalba 27'
  • yellowcard Guillermo de Amores 36'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Herrera 63'
  • redcard Nahuel Herrera 90'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Oct 16, 2024 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Leandro Sosa 59' yellowcard
  • Santiago Romero 80' yellowcard
  • Ramiro Brazionis 85' yellowcard
  • Santiago Romero 89' redcard
  • goal Leonardo Sequeira 51'
  • yellowcard Javier Cabrera 86'
  • goal Leonardo Fernandez 90'
  • yellowcard Guzman Rodriguez 90'+6'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Apr 14, 2024 10.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Diego Sosa 35' goal
  • Gaston Ramirez 42' yellowcard
  • Franco Gonzalez 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Matias Fracchia 31'
  • yellowcard Santiago Romero 54'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ferreira 69'
  • yellowcard Mauro Goicoechea 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Mauro Goicoechea 90'+5'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Nov 19, 2023 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Kevin Lewis 27' goal
  • Santiago Romero 45'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Leo Coelho 25'
  • yellowcard Damian Garcia 29'
  • yellowcard Angel Gonzalez 50'
  • goal Jose Neris 53'