Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Juventud had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Juventud win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.