Club Friendlies 3
Jul 31, 2026 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse
  • Julián Vignolo 31' goal
  • Santiago Hidalgo 45'+4' goal
  • goal Carlos Soler 33'

Toulouse vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 6.00pm
Toulouse 1 - 1 Rodez AF

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 28, 2026 7.30pm
Aston Villa 2 - 4 Real Sociedad

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-2 (8.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Toulouse 37.07% (-0.39)
Draw 27.47% (-0.11)
Real Sociedad 35.47% (+0.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.27% (+0.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.4% (+0.42)
Under 1.5 24.6% (-0.42)
Over 2.5 52.06% (+0.68)
Under 2.5 47.94% (-0.68)
Over 3.5 29.67% (+0.54)
Under 3.5 70.33% (-0.54)
Over 4.5 16.52% (+0.42)
Under 4.5 83.48% (-0.41)

First Half Winner

Toulouse 27.91% (-0.13)
Draw 46.42% (+0.02)
Real Sociedad 25.68% (+0.13)

Team To Score First

Toulouse 46.67% (-0.11)
No Goal 7.54% (-0.14)
Real Sociedad 45.79% (+0.25)

Corners

Over 8 55.6% (+0.82)
Equal 8 12.52%
Under 8 31.88% (-0.81)
Over 9 43.01% (+0.72)
Equal 9 12.59% (+0.09)
Under 9 44.4% (-0.82)
Over 10.5 31.52% (+0.56)
Under 10.5 68.48% (-0.57)

Toulouse Goals

Over 1.5 38.26% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 61.74% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 15.57% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 84.43% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.81% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.19% (-0.05)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 70.52% (+0.48)
Under 0.5 29.48% (-0.49)
Over 1.5 37.36% (+0.73)
Under 1.5 62.64% (-0.73)
Over 2.5 15.02% (+0.59)
Under 2.5 84.98% (-0.59)
Over 3.5 5.28% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 94.72% (-0.27)

Score analysis

Toulouse 37.07%
Draw 27.46%
Real Sociedad 35.46%
Toulouse
1-0 @ 8.68% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.8% (-0.16)
3-1 @ 3.8% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.85%
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.64% (+0.02)
Total : 37.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 7.54% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 5.95% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.3% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.17% (+0.03)
Total : 27.46%
Real Sociedad
1-2 @ 8.48% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 8.37% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 5.06% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.39% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 2.6% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.45% (+0.09)
Other @ 5.11% (+0.24)
Total : 35.46%