International Friendlies
Mar 25, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Kybunpark
  • Ruben Vargas 9' goal
  • Breel Embolo 12' goal
  • Miro Muheim 29' goal
  • Aurele Amenda 87' yellowcard
  • Eray Comert 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danel Sinani 63'
  • goal Danel Sinani 89'
  • yellowcard Mathias Olesen 89'
  • yellowcard Marvin da Graca 90'+4'

Switzerland vs Luxembourg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Switzerland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 21, 2025 7.45pm
N. Ireland 1 - 1 Switzerland

Luxembourg

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 22, 2025 5.00pm
Luxembourg 1 - 0 Sweden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 74.99%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.94%) and 3-0 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.

Result

Switzerland 74.99% (-0.05)
Draw 16.01% (+0.03)
Luxembourg 9% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.52% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.5% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 40.5% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 37.12% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 62.88% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 19.87% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 80.12% (+0.04)

Switzerland Goals

Over 0.5 90.81% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 9.19% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 68.86% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 31.13% (+0.05)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5 50.13% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 49.87% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 15.43% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 84.57% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Switzerland 74.97%
Draw 16.01%
Luxembourg 9%
Switzerland
2-0 @ 13.05% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 10.94% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 10.38% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.09% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.2% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 4.31% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.96% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.06% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 74.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.61% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.59% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 16.01%
Luxembourg
0-1 @ 3.19% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 2.65% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 9%