Friendlies 1

Mar 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Kybunpark

Switzerland
3 - 1
Luxembourg

Vargas (9'), Embolo (12' pen.), Muheim (29')
Amenda (87'), Comert (89')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Sinani (89' pen.)
Sinani (63'), Olesen (89'), da Graca (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Switzerland and Luxembourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Switzerland

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: N. Ireland 1-1 Switzerland
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	6	9	16
2	Denmark	6	2	8
3	Serbia	6	-3	6
4	Switzerland	6	-8	2

Luxembourg

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Luxembourg 1-0 Sweden
Saturday, March 22 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Bulgaria	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Belarus	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 74.99%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.94%) and 3-0 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.

Result
Switzerland	Draw	Luxembourg
74.99% ( -0.04)	16.01% ( 0.02)	9% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 45.52% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.5% (

-0.03)

40.5% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.12% (

-0.03)

62.88% (

0.04)

Switzerland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.81% (

-0.02)

9.19% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.86% (

-0.04)

31.13% (

0.05)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.13% (

0.03)

49.87% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.43% (

0.02)

84.57% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Switzerland 74.97%

Luxembourg 9%

Draw 16.01%

Switzerland	Draw	Luxembourg
2-0 @ 13.05% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.31% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.06% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 3.57% Total : 74.97%	1-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 16.01%	0-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 9%