Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Canada had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.