Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (8.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.