Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caykur Rizespor win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caykur Rizespor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Caykur Rizespor would win this match.