Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Caykur Rizespor win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.