Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 22
Feb 2, 2025 at 10.30am UK
Aytac Durak Tesisleri

Adana Demirspor
3 - 5
Kasimpasa

Kalender (13'), Alioui (57'), Aymbetov (89')
Guler (36'), Aktas (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fall (16', 82'), Hajradinovic (73' pen.), Kara (75'), Keles (79')
Barak (36'), Opoku (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Adana Demirspor and Kasimpasa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adana Demirspor

All competitions
Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 3-2 Adana Demirspor
Sunday, January 26 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Last Game: Kasimpasa 5-4 Hatayspor
Monday, January 27 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.

Result
Adana DemirsporDrawKasimpasa
34.44% (0.223 0.22)24.39% (0.164 0.16)41.17% (-0.394 -0.39)
Both teams to score 59.61% (-0.541 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.89% (-0.736 -0.74)43.11% (0.729 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.49% (-0.73 -0.73)65.51% (0.723 0.72)
Adana Demirspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)24.5% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (-0.303 -0.3)58.96% (0.295 0.3)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (-0.495 -0.5)21.04% (0.488 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.16% (-0.774 -0.77)53.83% (0.767 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Adana Demirspor 34.44%
    Kasimpasa 41.17%
    Draw 24.38%
Adana DemirsporDrawKasimpasa
2-1 @ 7.95% (0.039 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.25% (0.187 0.19)
2-0 @ 5.1% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.39% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.44%
1-1 @ 11.3% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.16% (0.163 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.38%
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.138 0.14)
0-2 @ 6.26% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.78% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 41.17%

How you voted: Adana Demirspor vs Kasimpasa

Adana Demirspor
28.6%
Draw
0.0%
Kasimpasa
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
Kasimpasa
2-2
Adana Demirspor
Hajradinovic (30'), Da Costa (60')
Gul (57')
Barasi (65'), Manev (90+3')
> Preview
Feb 9, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 25
Adana Demirspor
1-3
Kasimpasa
Balotelli (87')
Gravillon (38'), Mohammadi (63'), Guler (67'), Balotelli (88'), Nani (88')
Fall (29'), Kara (32'), Hajradinovic (57' pen.)
Winck (67'), Emre Yanar (72'), Ben Ouannes (86')
> Preview
Sep 24, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 6
Kasimpasa
2-1
Adana Demirspor
Kara (25', 51' pen.)
Ozdes (20'), Kara (27'), Omeruo (54'), Ciftpinar (90+3'), Ben Ouannes (90+4')
Erdogan (80' pen.)
Stambouli (40'), Akbaba (90+5'), Rodrigues (90+7')
Ozbir (19'), Stambouli (45+8'), Rodrigues (90+7')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 29
Adana Demirspor
5-0
Kasimpasa
David (18', 21'), Sari (27'), Ndiaye (80'), Belhanda (90' pen.)
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Kasimpasa
1-4
Adana Demirspor
Bahoken (56')
Belhanda (37'), David (40'), Onyekuru (63'), N'Diaye (86')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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