Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.