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Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
 
Augsburg logo

Stuttgart
3 - 2
Augsburg

Anton (44'), Marmoush (79'), Tomas (85')
Tomas (80'), Fuhrich (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Hahn (6'), Gregoritsch (45+1')
Pedersen (78'), Uduokhai (79'), Winther (81')

Preview: Stuttgart vs. Augsburg - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

A crucial clash at the bottom of the Bundesliga table will take place on Saturday, as Stuttgart play host to Augsburg.

The hosts currently sit in the relegation playoff place, while their visitors are three points better off in 14th spot after a victory last time out.


Match preview

Stuttgart coach Pellegrino Matarazzo on December 14, 2021© Reuters

With just 19 points from 24 league outings, Stuttgart sat in a precarious position in the Bundesliga, occupying a place in the automatic drop zone having earned just four victories.

The hierarchy have stuck by manager Pellegrino Matarazzo thus far, and Die Roten have started to give their survival hopes a boost recently, firstly breaking a nine-game winless run as they defeated fellow strugglers Borussia Monchengladbach 3-2 at home.

Their visitors took a two-goal lead in the first half, but Wataru Endo quickly pulled one back before Chris Fuhrich equalised and Sasa Kalajdzic netted an 83rd-minute winner.

Matarazzo's men added to that with a commendable point away at Union Berlin last time out, as Kalajdzic again popped up late, scoring in the 90th minute to force a 1-1 draw.

On the back of those two positive results, Die Roten have climbed out of the automatic drop zone and into the relegation playoff place, and, now sitting just two points adrift of automatic survival and three points behind Saturday's opponents, they will look to give their hopes another major boost with a win at the weekend.

Augsburg coach Markus Weinzierl before the match on February 27, 2022© Reuters

Similarly to their hosts, Augsburg have also helped their chances of survival in recent weeks, firstly following up consecutive defeats with a commendable 1-1 draw at home to Borussia Dortmund, as Noah Sarenren Bazee earned them a point with a 78th-minute equaliser.

The Fuggerstadter then scored a crucial win in the battle for survival in their last outing, defeating Arminia Bielefeld 1-0 away from home thanks to Daniel Caligiuri's second-half goal.

That saw them leapfrog their opponents and move further away from the bottom three, but, after not playing last weekend, they have since been dragged back closer as a result of Stuttgart's improvement.

Upon their return to action, Markus Weinzierl's side will look for another important win to stretch the gap between themselves and their opponents to six points and again move further clear of the bottom three.

Stuttgart Bundesliga form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D

Augsburg Bundesliga form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W



Team News

Augsburg's Noah Sarenren Bazee celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 27, 2022© Reuters

Stuttgart will remain without Silas Katompa Mvumpa, Mohamed Sankoh and Nikolas Nartey, as the trio are all battling through long-term injuries.

They have struggled for goals throughout the season, but the recent return of Sasa Kalajdzic from injury has brought about an improvement, with the Austrian international having netted three goals and provided two assists in his last four appearances.

He will lead the line, likely with the support of Omar Marmoush and Sporting Lisbon loanee Tiago Tomas from the wide areas.

After an important victory last time out, Augsburg should only make minimal changes to their starting XI, with Michael Gregoritsch again set to spearhead the attack.

Robert Gumny, Tobias Strobl and Alfred Finnbogason remain confined to the treatment room, while Felix Uduokhai was forced off in the first half last time out.

He was replaced by Frederik Winther, and, following their clean sheet, the substitute should feature from the outset at the weekend in a back three alongside Reece Oxford and Jeffrey Gouweleeuw.

Stuttgart possible starting lineup:
Muller; Mavropanos, Anton, Ito, Sosa; Endo, Karazor, Fuhrich; Tomas, Kalajdzic, Marmoush

Augsburg possible starting lineup:
Gikiewicz; Gouweleeuw, Oxford, Winther; Caligiuri, Maier, Gruezo, Iago; Vargas, Zeqiri; Gregoritsch


SM words green background

We say: Stuttgart 1-1 Augsburg

Given their close standings in the battle for survival, we predict a close and cagey affair and cannot quite pick a winner.

The two sides have improved their standings in the battle at the bottom of the table recently, and, with them both having renewed confidence and the chance of building momentum, we do not expect either to roll over.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



ID:480912:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9910:
Written by
Sam Varley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 45%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Augsburg

Stuttgart
63.6%
Draw
22.7%
Augsburg
13.6%
22
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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