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Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
 
Augsburg logo

Stuttgart
3 - 2
Augsburg

Anton (44'), Marmoush (79'), Tomas (85')
Tomas (80'), Fuhrich (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Hahn (6'), Gregoritsch (45+1')
Pedersen (78'), Uduokhai (79'), Winther (81')

Preview: Stuttgart vs. Augsburg - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

A crucial clash at the bottom of the Bundesliga table will take place on Saturday, as Stuttgart play host to Augsburg.

The hosts currently sit in the relegation playoff place, while their visitors are three points better off in 14th spot after a victory last time out.


Match preview

Stuttgart coach Pellegrino Matarazzo on December 14, 2021© Reuters

With just 19 points from 24 league outings, Stuttgart sat in a precarious position in the Bundesliga, occupying a place in the automatic drop zone having earned just four victories.

The hierarchy have stuck by manager Pellegrino Matarazzo thus far, and Die Roten have started to give their survival hopes a boost recently, firstly breaking a nine-game winless run as they defeated fellow strugglers Borussia Monchengladbach 3-2 at home.

Their visitors took a two-goal lead in the first half, but Wataru Endo quickly pulled one back before Chris Fuhrich equalised and Sasa Kalajdzic netted an 83rd-minute winner.

Matarazzo's men added to that with a commendable point away at Union Berlin last time out, as Kalajdzic again popped up late, scoring in the 90th minute to force a 1-1 draw.

On the back of those two positive results, Die Roten have climbed out of the automatic drop zone and into the relegation playoff place, and, now sitting just two points adrift of automatic survival and three points behind Saturday's opponents, they will look to give their hopes another major boost with a win at the weekend.

Augsburg coach Markus Weinzierl before the match on February 27, 2022© Reuters

Similarly to their hosts, Augsburg have also helped their chances of survival in recent weeks, firstly following up consecutive defeats with a commendable 1-1 draw at home to Borussia Dortmund, as Noah Sarenren Bazee earned them a point with a 78th-minute equaliser.

The Fuggerstadter then scored a crucial win in the battle for survival in their last outing, defeating Arminia Bielefeld 1-0 away from home thanks to Daniel Caligiuri's second-half goal.

That saw them leapfrog their opponents and move further away from the bottom three, but, after not playing last weekend, they have since been dragged back closer as a result of Stuttgart's improvement.

Upon their return to action, Markus Weinzierl's side will look for another important win to stretch the gap between themselves and their opponents to six points and again move further clear of the bottom three.

Stuttgart Bundesliga form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D

Augsburg Bundesliga form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W



Team News

Augsburg's Noah Sarenren Bazee celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 27, 2022© Reuters

Stuttgart will remain without Silas Katompa Mvumpa, Mohamed Sankoh and Nikolas Nartey, as the trio are all battling through long-term injuries.

They have struggled for goals throughout the season, but the recent return of Sasa Kalajdzic from injury has brought about an improvement, with the Austrian international having netted three goals and provided two assists in his last four appearances.

He will lead the line, likely with the support of Omar Marmoush and Sporting Lisbon loanee Tiago Tomas from the wide areas.

After an important victory last time out, Augsburg should only make minimal changes to their starting XI, with Michael Gregoritsch again set to spearhead the attack.

Robert Gumny, Tobias Strobl and Alfred Finnbogason remain confined to the treatment room, while Felix Uduokhai was forced off in the first half last time out.

He was replaced by Frederik Winther, and, following their clean sheet, the substitute should feature from the outset at the weekend in a back three alongside Reece Oxford and Jeffrey Gouweleeuw.

Stuttgart possible starting lineup:
Muller; Mavropanos, Anton, Ito, Sosa; Endo, Karazor, Fuhrich; Tomas, Kalajdzic, Marmoush

Augsburg possible starting lineup:
Gikiewicz; Gouweleeuw, Oxford, Winther; Caligiuri, Maier, Gruezo, Iago; Vargas, Zeqiri; Gregoritsch


SM words green background

We say: Stuttgart 1-1 Augsburg

Given their close standings in the battle for survival, we predict a close and cagey affair and cannot quite pick a winner.

The two sides have improved their standings in the battle at the bottom of the table recently, and, with them both having renewed confidence and the chance of building momentum, we do not expect either to roll over.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 45%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Augsburg

Stuttgart
63.6%
Draw
22.7%
Augsburg
13.6%
22
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen30255075205580
2Bayern MunichBayern30213687375066
3Stuttgart30203768363263
4RB Leipzig30185769343559
5Borussia DortmundDortmund30169558352357
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt30111274640645
7Freiburg30117124253-1140
8Augsburg30109114849-139
9Hoffenheim30116135360-739
10Heidenheim30810124352-934
11Werder Bremen3097143850-1234
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach30710135360-731
13Wolfsburg3087153550-1531
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3085172650-2429
15Mainz 05Mainz30512133148-1727
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum30512133460-2627
17FC Koln30410162353-3022
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3038193072-4217


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