Champions League
Aug 11, 2026 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Fabio Ingolitsch 80' yellowcard
  • Jeyland Mitchell 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nélson Semedo 40'
  • yellowcard Archie Brown 45'
  • goal Talisca 66'
  • yellowcard Kerem Aktürkoğlu 89'

Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Aug 5, 2026 7.00pm
Fenerbahce 2 - 0 Sturm Graz

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Aug 5, 2026 7.00pm
Fenerbahce 2 - 0 Sturm Graz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.26% and a win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 23.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%) , while for a Sturm Graz win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result

Sturm Graz 23.52% (-0.04)
Draw 25.26%
Fenerbahce 51.22% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.45%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.7%
Under 1.5 25.3%
Over 2.5 51.49% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.51% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.43% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 69.57% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 18.47% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.53% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Sturm Graz 21.39%
Draw 38.99%
Fenerbahce 39.62%

Team To Score First

Sturm Graz 34.83%
No Goal 7.5%
Fenerbahce 57.67%

Corners

Over 8 65.26%
Equal 8 10.42%
Under 8 24.32%
Over 9 54%
Equal 9 11.25%
Under 9 34.74%
Over 10.5 42.85%
Under 10.5 57.15%

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 1.5 26.78% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 73.22% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 9.74% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.26% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.13% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.87% (+0.02)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5 78.52% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 21.48% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 48.6% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 51.4% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 23.46% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 76.54% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 9.61% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.39% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Sturm Graz 23.51%
Draw 25.26%
Fenerbahce 51.22%
Sturm Graz
1-0 @ 6.51% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 5.62%
2-0 @ 3.27% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.09%
3-2 @ 1.83%
3-0 @ 1.4% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.79% (-0.01)
Total : 23.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.5%
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.29% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 25.26%
Fenerbahce
0-1 @ 11.28%
1-2 @ 9.09%
0-2 @ 9.02%
0-3 @ 4.95% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.66%
2-3 @ 2.95%
Other @ 9.27% (+0.02)
Total : 51.22%

Head to Head

Champions League
Aug 5, 2026 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium
  • Talisca 9' goal
  • Mason Greenwood 45' goal
  • yellowcard Jon Gorenc Stankovic 21'
  • yellowcard Jürgen Heil 58'
  • yellowcard Axel Kayombo 65'
Europa League Qualifying
Aug 3, 2017 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nabil Dirar 32' goal
  • Roman Neustadter 66' yellowcard
  • Alper Potuk 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Jeggo 23'
  • goal Philipp Huspek 66'
  • yellowcard Dario Maresic 75'
Europa League Qualifying
Jul 27, 2017 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Charalampos Lykogiannis 5' yellowcard
  • Stefan Hierlander 10' goal
  • Sandi Lovric 41' yellowcard
  • Stefan Hierlander 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ozan Tufan 13'
  • goal Dario Maresic 29' (OG)
  • goal Roman Neustadter 35'