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Spurs logo
Premier League | Gameweek 31
Jun 23, 2020 at 8.15pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
West Ham logo

Spurs
2 - 0
West Ham

Soucek (64' og.), Kane (82')
Kane (51'), Davies (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Fornals (15'), Noble (26')

Preview: Tottenham Hotspur vs. West Ham United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League fixture between Tottenham Hotspur and West Ham United, including team news and predicted lineups.

Tottenham Hotspur head into their London derby with West Ham United on Tuesday night looking to end a four-match winless streak in the Premier League.

Meanwhile, the Hammers have suffered four defeats in five outings, leaving David Moyes's team desperately needing to get more points on the board if they are to avoid a relegation scrap.


Match preview

Tottenham Hotspur manager Jose Mourinho pictured on June 19, 2020© Reuters

Having held a slender lead over Manchester United for so long on Friday night, Jose Mourinho was visibly frustrated after only claiming a draw against his former club.

Nevertheless, with it being their first game back after the enforced break and having survived a VAR call regarding a second spot kick, Spurs have the platform to kick on during their closing eight games of the season.

With his team down in eighth position, Mourinho will acknowledge that only wins will do at this stage of the campaign if they want to launch any kind of late charge towards the top four.

However, the returns of Steven Bergwijn, Son Heung-min and Harry Kane undoubtedly provide the North Londoners with an extra edge in the final third, something which was lacking before the coronavirus pandemic.

Although the latter of that trio looked off the pace against United, it represented a much-needed 90 minutes for the England international, who remains the club's top goalscorer in the Premier League despite missing two-and-a-half months of action with a hamstring injury.

From West Ham's perspective, Moyes would have been desperately disappointed with how his side performed against Wolverhampton Wanderers on Saturday evening.

For large parts of the contest, the Hammers barely got out of first gear, allowing the visitors to dictate the pace of play and ultimately earn a deserved 2-0 triumph.

The below-par display came on the back of several encouraging showings before lockdown, something which will only add to Moyes's frustration at a time when his side are coming under increasing pressure at the bottom of the table.

That said, despite the difficultly of facing Spurs and Chelsea in their next two matches, featuring in all-London showdowns may prove to be a blessing in disguise as Moyes searches for a more passionate performance from what remains a talented group of players.

Tottenham Hotspur Premier League form: WWLLDD
Tottenham Hotspur form (all competitions): LLDDLD

West Ham United Premier League form: DLLWLL


Team News

Dele Alli celebrates scoring the opener for Spurs on November 30, 2019© Reuters

After watching his side perform well against Man United, Mourinho may be prepared to select the same starting lineup.

However, the recovery of his side, as well as the return from suspension of Dele Alli, is likely to lead to at least one alteration.

Alli may get the nod over Erik Lamela, providing that Bergwijn and Son have shown no ill effects from their first competitive game after injury, while Toby Alderweireld could return to take the spot of Eric Dier.

Lucas Moura remains a doubt after sustaining a head injury during training last week.

West Ham manager Moyes is likely to make several changes to his team, including in defence when Declan Rice may be restored to the centre of midfield.

Ryan Fredericks could take the spot of youngster Jeremy Ngakia at right-back, while Manuel Lanzini and Andriy Yarmolenko will feel that they deserve a recall in attack.

After coming through 90 minutes as a lone forward against Wolves and his past injury record, Michail Antonio is unlikely to be risked from the start twice in the space of three days.

Tottenham Hotspur possible starting lineup:
Lloris; Aurier, Sanchez, Alderweireld, Davies; Sissoko, Winks; Bergwijn, Alli, Son; Kane

West Ham United possible starting lineup:
Fabainski; Fredericks, Diop, Balbuena, Cresswell; Rice, Noble, Soucek; Lanzini, Yarmolenko, Anderson


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Tottenham Hotspur 3-1 West Ham United

Both teams will have high expectations when it comes to gaining maximum points on Tuesday evening. However, while we feel that the Hammers will push their city neighbours close, we think that Spurs will rally during the closing stages to earn a morale-boosting win.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 55.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 21.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a West Ham United win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.


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Harry Kane in action for Spurs on December 28, 2019
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
2Arsenal32225575264971
3Liverpool32218372314171
4Aston Villa33196868491963
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle321551269521750
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd32155124748-150
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham33139115258-648
9Chelsea31138106152947
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves32127134651-543
12Fulham33126154951-242
13Bournemouth32119124757-1042
14Crystal Palace3289153754-1733
15Brentford3388174758-1132
16Everton3298153248-1627
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3379174258-1626
18Luton TownLuton3367204670-2425
19Burnley3348213368-3520
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3237223084-5416


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