Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 1
Sep 26, 2026 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Orlando Stadium
  • Ime Okon 30' goal
  • Ime Okon 44' yellowcard
  • Thapelo Maseko 67' yellowcard
  • Samukele Kabini 77' goal
  • yellowcard Serhou Guirassy 40'
  • goal Seydouba Cissé 69'

South Africa vs Guinea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions

Guinea

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Guinea had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Guinea win was 0-1 (10.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

South Africa 41.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 26.09%
Guinea 32.3% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.6% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.54% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 30.46% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 43.81% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 56.19% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 23.09% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 76.91% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 12.75% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 87.25% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

South Africa 24.26%
Draw 48.24%
Guinea 27.5%

Team To Score First

South Africa 46.2% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 9.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Guinea 44.7% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 33.32%
Equal 8 11.32%
Under 8 55.36%
Over 9 23.86%
Equal 9 9.46%
Under 9 66.68%
Over 10.5 16.52%
Under 10.5 83.48%

South Africa Goals

Over 1.5 36.53% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 63.47% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 15.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 84.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.62% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.38% ▼ (-0.03)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5 63.1% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 36.9% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 28.59% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 71.41% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 9.91% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 90.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.86% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.14% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

South Africa 41.61%
Draw 26.09%
Guinea 32.31%
South Africa
1-0 @ 11.1% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 7.84%
2-0 @ 7.41% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 2.13%
Other @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 41.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 9.1% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.09%
Guinea
0-1 @ 10.27% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.74%
1-3 @ 2.65%
0-3 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 32.31%

Head to Head

African Nations Championship
Aug 11, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
International Friendlies
Mar 25, 2022 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT