Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 26, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Štadión Tatran
  • Ondrej Duda 28' yellowcard
  • Ivan Schranz 32' goal
  • Ondrej Duda 40' goal
  • Tomas Suslov 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oleg Reabciuk 20'

Slovakia vs Moldova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovakia

All competitions

Moldova

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.89% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 13.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%) , while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result

Slovakia 64.91% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 21.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Moldova 13.2% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.52% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 25.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 50.08%
Under 2.5 49.92%
Over 3.5 27.99% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 72.01% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.55% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 82.45% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Slovakia 49.54%
Draw 37.98%
Moldova 12.48%

Team To Score First

Slovakia 68.99% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 7.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Moldova 23.56%

Corners

Over 8 65.74%
Equal 8 10.28%
Under 8 23.98%
Over 9 54.58%
Equal 9 11.15%
Under 9 34.26%
Over 10.5 43.47%
Under 10.5 56.53%

Slovakia Goals

Over 1.5 57.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 42.88% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 30.77% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 69.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 13.4% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 86.6% ▲ (+0.04)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5 45.56% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 54.44% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 14.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 85.58% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 3.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 96.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 0.79%
Under 3.5 99.21%

Score analysis

Slovakia 64.9%
Draw 21.89%
Moldova 13.2%
Slovakia
1-0 @ 13%
2-0 @ 12.3%
2-1 @ 9.67% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.49%
3-1 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.13%
Other @ 13.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 64.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.03% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.57%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.89%
Moldova
0-1 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 13.2%