Champions League Gameweek 4
Nov 3, 2026 5.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Isaque 74' yellowcard
  • goal Issa Doumbia 59'
  • yellowcard Maxi Araújo 66'

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 8.00pm
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 1 Galatasaray

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 (7.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result

Shakhtar Donetsk 27.92% ▲ (+0.21)
Draw 26.1% ▼ (-0.30)
Sporting Lisbon 45.98% ▲ (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.87% ▲ (+0.97)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.06% ▲ (+0.99)
Under 1.5 24.94% ▼ (-0.99)
Over 2.5 50.67% ▲ (+1.17)
Under 2.5 49.33% ▼ (-1.17)
Over 3.5 28.53% ▲ (+0.95)
Under 3.5 71.47% ▼ (-0.94)
Over 4.5 16.72% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 4.5 83.28% ▼ (-0.61)

First Half Winner

Shakhtar Donetsk 24.84%
Draw 44.09%
Sporting Lisbon 31.08%

Team To Score First

Shakhtar Donetsk 44.13% ▲ (+0.21)
No Goal 7.08% ▼ (-0.42)
Sporting Lisbon 48.79% ▲ (+0.22)

Corners

Over 8 48.37%
Equal 8 11.58%
Under 8 40.05%
Over 9 37.4%
Equal 9 10.97%
Under 9 51.63%
Over 10.5 27.8%
Under 10.5 72.2%

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 1.5 29.47% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 1.5 70.53% ▼ (-0.69)
Over 2.5 10.52% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 2.5 89.48% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 3.5 3.2% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 96.8% ▼ (-0.11)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 75.84% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 0.5 24.16% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 1.5 44.46% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 1.5 55.54% ▼ (-0.75)
Over 2.5 20.6% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 2.5 79.4% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 3.5 7.83% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 3.5 92.17% ▼ (-0.27)

Score analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 27.94%
Draw 26.09%
Sporting Lisbon 45.98%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.20)
2-1 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 4.25%
3-1 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 3% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 27.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.41% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 7.08% ▼ (-0.42)
2-2 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 26.09%
Sporting Lisbon
0-1 @ 9.99% ▼ (-0.37)
1-2 @ 9.09% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 7.71% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.27)
Total : 45.98%